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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Oldham Athletic
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Mansfield Town

Oldham
1 - 2
Mansfield

Keillor-Dunn (24')
Whelan (73'), Rogers (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (53'), Lapslie (90+5')
Perch (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oldham Athletic 0-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield's late winner in the week is likely to have re-energised their side following their back-to-back defeats prior to it. With the visitors on the up and the hosts in a desperate situation at the bottom following a dreadful run, Mansfield should be expected to edge out Oldham in this one, albeit likely by a narrow margin with both sides left with plenty to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
25.24%23.82%50.94%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49%45.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16%67.84%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58%68.42%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3%48.7%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 25.24%
    Mansfield Town 50.94%
    Draw 23.81%
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-1 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.24%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 8.47%
1-3 @ 5.54%
0-3 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.94%

How you voted: Oldham vs Mansfield

Oldham Athletic
29.6%
Draw
3.7%
Mansfield Town
66.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
0-0
Oldham

Clarke (38'), Lapslie (76'), Burke (90+2')

Stobbs (37'), Clarke (86')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
4-1
Oldham
Sinclair (12'), Lapslie (38', 80'), Reid (88')
Dearnley (51')
Clarke (77')
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
Oldham
2-3
Mansfield
McCalmont (6'), McAleny (84')
McAleny (61'), Rowe (65')
Charsley (36'), Sweeney (38'), Reid (49')
Cook (34'), Lapslie (87')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Oldham
3-1
Mansfield
Smith (23'), Hamer (43'), Nepomuceno (58')
Khan (93')
Riley (16'), Pearce (70')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
6-1
Oldham
Maynard (31', 34', 45'), Wheater (56' og.), Afolayan (66'), Knowles (83' pen.)
Pearce (65'), Sweeney (92')
Haymer (43')
Morais (33')
Egert (37'), Morais (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622


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