Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.