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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
43.88% | 26.83% | 29.29% |
Both teams to score 49.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.74% | 55.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.51% | 76.49% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% | 25.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.32% | 59.68% |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.04% | 33.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% | 70.63% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |