Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.