We said: Stevenage 1-1 Peterborough United
Stevenage have been in poor form in recent weeks, but Peterborough have a shocking record away from home this season.
The Boro are likely to score given the Posh have conceded the most goals in the league, but the visitors can also be expected to find the back of the net in a score draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.