League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Rochdale

Williams (5'), Curtis (37')
Williams (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Beesley (90+3')
Keohane (24')

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Rochdale
59.42%	22.61%	17.97%

Both teams to score 49.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05%

48.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.97%

71.03%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89%

16.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.48%

45.52%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.98%

41.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.43%

77.57%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 59.41%

Rochdale 17.97%

Draw 22.61%

Portsmouth	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 12.06% 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 5.97% 4-0 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 59.41%	1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.61%	0-1 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.97%