Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.