Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Eibar |
45.68% | 24.97% | 29.34% |
Both teams to score 55.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.31% | 47.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.11% | 69.89% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.08% | 20.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.35% | 53.65% |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.01% | 30% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% | 66.11% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Eibar |
1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.68% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
13 | GironaGirona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
14 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |