Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Eibar |
41.09% | 27.3% | 31.61% |
Both teams to score 49.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.77% | 56.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.73% | 77.27% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.09% | 26.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.77% | 62.24% |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.24% | 32.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.68% | 69.32% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Eibar |
1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |