Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Granada |
49.4% | 26.33% | 24.27% |
Both teams to score 47.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.65% | 56.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.63% | 77.37% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.13% | 22.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% | 56.61% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% | 38.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.53% | 75.46% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |