We said: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
With both teams neck-and-neck in the standings, Saturday's encounter could easily go either way, and we are expecting an end-to-end game. That said, we fancy the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin come the end of the 90 minutes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gamba Osaka in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gamba Osaka.