Tajikistan
1 - 0
Kyrgyzstan

Umarbaev (54' pen.)
Ergashev (24'), Dzhalilov (26'), Dzhalilov (32'), Hanonov (55'), Chakalov (67'), Panshanbe (71'), Zoirov (72'), Hanonov (85')
Safarov (22'), Hanonov (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sukurov (35'), Akmatov (64')
Alykulov (23'), Abdurakhmanov (52')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

Last Game: Syria 1-0 Tajikistan
Wednesday, June 1 at 4.45pm in International Friendlies

Kyrgyzstan

Last Game: Tajikistan 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, March 29 at 11.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Kyrgyzstan win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
Tajikistan	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
42.76%	22.46%	34.78%

Both teams to score 66.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.44%

33.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.64%

55.36%

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.59%

16.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.93%

46.07%

Kyrgyzstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1%

19.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.97%

52.03%

Score Analysis

Tajikistan 42.76%

Kyrgyzstan 34.78%

Draw 22.46%

Tajikistan	Draw	Kyrgyzstan
2-1 @ 8.61% 1-0 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-2 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.62% Total : 42.76%	1-1 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 6.95% 0-0 @ 3.27% 3-3 @ 2.25% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 7.69% 0-1 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 0.92% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.78%