We said: Malaysia 2-0 Philippines
Boasting a better record in 2024 and home advantage, Malaysia should be confident of recording a friendly success over the Philippines on Wednesday night.
As was the case with their most recent victory over Chinese Taipei in June, we are expecting Harimau Malaya to win this contest by two clear goals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 77.96%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 8.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Philippines win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.