Friendlies 3

Sep 11, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Hong Kong
10 - 0
Brunei

Camargo (12', 59'), Hin Poon (87', 84'), Chun Lok (20'), Helio (41'), Augusto Azevedo Pedreira (51'), Wong (56'), Kwan Chan (64', 83')
Chun Lok (35'), Nam Yue (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Hong Kong and Burnei.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnei

Last Game: Brunei 1-0 Laos
Tuesday, September 27 at 9am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 3.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 4-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.15%), while for a Burnei win it was 0-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 10-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Burnei
88.03% ( 0.09)	8.75% ( -0.06)	3.23% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 36.67% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.58% (

0.17)

30.42% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.3% (

0.2)

51.7% (

-0.2)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.53% (

0.05)

4.47% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.64% (

0.14)

18.37% (

-0.13)

Burnei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.38% (

-0.01)

61.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.55% (

-0.01)

91.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 88.01%

Burnei 3.23%

Draw 8.75%

Hong Kong	Draw	Burnei
3-0 @ 13.77% 2-0 @ 13.3% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.99% Total : 88.01%	1-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 8.75%	0-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 3.23%