Both North Macedonia and Finland have struggled for consistency in recent months, so Thursday's contest is a difficult one to call. With Finland resting their talisman Pukki, North Macedonia may do enough to come away with a draw on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Finland
36.03% ( -0.08)	22.69% ( -0.05)	41.27% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 66.34% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.52% (

0.24)

34.48% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.6% (

0.27)

56.4% (

-0.27)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29% (

0.07)

19.71% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.29% (

0.11)

51.71% (

-0.11)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.62% (

0.15)

17.38% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.21% (

0.26)

47.79% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 36.03%

Finland 41.27%

Draw 22.7%

North Macedonia	Draw	Finland
2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.03%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.27%