MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:02:21| >> :60:46:46:
Colombia national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Iraq national football team

Colombia
1 - 0
Iraq

Cassierra (76')
Carrascal (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Colombia and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 1-2 Colombia
Tuesday, March 28 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

Iraq

Last Game: Russia 2-0 Iraq
Sunday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: Colombia 2-0 Iraq

 Iraq are a dangerous counter-attacking side who have shown they can create chances in transition, but we believe the experienced Colombian backline will be in the right place at the right time to thwart them at every turn. Colombia have some quality in the attack themselves, and given how familiar they are with one another, we expect the South Americans to be a little bit sharper in possession and make their chances count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 12.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.74%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.

Result
ColombiaDrawIraq
64.9% (0.35599999999999 0.36) 22.91% (-0.122 -0.12) 12.2% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 36.3% (-0.278 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)79.94% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.122 0.12)18% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.20800000000001 0.21)48.86% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.27% (-0.404 -0.4)55.73% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.69% (-0.238 -0.24)88.31% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 64.89%
    Iraq 12.2%
    Draw 22.89%
ColombiaDrawIraq
1-0 @ 17.2% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-0 @ 14.74% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.43% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.93%
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 64.89%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 2.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 12.2%

How you voted: Colombia vs Iraq

Colombia
84.2%
Draw
5.3%
Iraq
10.5%
19
rhs 2.0
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