Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.