Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grazer AK win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Sibenik had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grazer AK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Sibenik win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grazer AK would win this match.