Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.