FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
1 - 2
Brighton

Robinson (47')
Livermore (40'), Kipre (67'), Townsend (96'), Reach (102')
Kipre (69')

FT
(aet)

Moder (81'), Maupay (98')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between West Bromwich Albion and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: West Bromwich Albion 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Over the last few weeks, while West Brom have suffered a slight dip in league form, Brighton have enjoyed plenty of success in the top flight. Even though Potter is expected to make a few changes to his starting lineup, the visitors should have enough quality in their side to come away from The Hawthorns with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
44.18%	25.68%	30.14%

Both teams to score 53.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.71%

50.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.76%

72.24%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31%

22.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65%

56.35%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25%

30.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.98%

67.02%

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 44.18%

Brighton & Hove Albion 30.14%

Draw 25.67%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.18%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.14%