Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Dunstable win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Newport Pagnell Town had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Dunstable win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.92%) and 2-3 (5%). The likeliest Newport Pagnell Town win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Dunstable would win this match.
8.44) 
-9.81) 
