Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.