Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Elfsborg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Elfsborg.