Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.55%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Zimbru win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ararat-Armenia would win this match.