Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Montegiardino
La Fiorita1 - 1Zimbru
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between La Fiorita and Zimbru.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Fiorita win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Zimbru had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Fiorita win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.54%), while for a Zimbru win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
La Fiorita | Draw | Zimbru |
63.7% ( 0.19) | 23.6% ( -0.11) | 12.7% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 35.92% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.06% ( 0.22) | 60.94% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.05% ( 0.17) | 80.95% ( -0.16) |
La Fiorita Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.07% ( 0.16) | 18.93% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.56% ( 0.26) | 50.44% ( -0.25) |
Zimbru Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.31% ( 0.02) | 55.69% ( -0.01) |