UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 13, 2023 at 4pm UK

Armenia Football Academy grass

Ararat-Armenia
1 - 1
Egnatia Rrogozhine

(agg: -)

Alemao (36')
Serobyan (63'), Hakobyan (72'), Tera (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dwamena (90+7')
Lila (65'), Aleksi (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Ararat-Armenia and Egnatia Rrogozhine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ararat-Armenia

Last Game: Paide 0-0 Ararat-Armenia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat-Armenia win with a probability of 73.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 7.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat-Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.24%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.01%), while for a Egnatia Rrogozhine win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Ararat-Armenia	Draw	Egnatia Rrogozhine
73.59% ( 0.01)	18.88% ( 0)	7.53% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 31.14% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.21% (

-0.04)

56.79% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

-0.03)

77.72% (

0.03)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87% (

-0.01)

14.13% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.21% (

-0.02)

41.79% (

0.02)

Egnatia Rrogozhine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.26% (

-0.05)

63.73% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.55% (

-0.02)

92.44% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ararat-Armenia 73.58%

Egnatia Rrogozhine 7.53%

Draw 18.88%

Ararat-Armenia	Draw	Egnatia Rrogozhine
1-0 @ 17.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 17.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 73.58%	0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.88%	0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 7.53%