MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:46:45| >> :600:393547:393547:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
St Gallen
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Espenmoos

St Gallen
4 - 1
Tobol

Stevanovic (35'), Akolo (39'), Toma (77'), Vallci (90+7')
Quintilla (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vallci (28' og.)
Mosiashvili (18'), Asrankulov (45+3'), Essien (62'), El Messaoudi (82'), Chesnokov (85')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between St Gallen and Tobol.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Gallen

All competitions
Last Game: Winterthur 1-0 St Gallen
Saturday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Tobol

All competitions
Last Game: Tobol 1-0 Ruzomberok
Thursday, July 18 at 4pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Servette52.50Crivelli
2Lausanne33.00Diabate
3Basel22.00Barry
4FC Zurich22.00Emmanuel
5Lugano22.00Bislimi
6Sion22.00Chouaref
7Young Boys21.00Ganvoula
8Winterthur11.00Di Giusto
9Grasshopper11.00Morandi
10Luzern11.00Villiger
11St Gallen00.00
12Yverdon Sport00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.

Result
St GallenDrawTobol
54.45% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.56% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.25% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.18% (0.073 0.07)38.82% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (0.076000000000001 0.08)61.13% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (0.025000000000006 0.03)14.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.95% (0.051000000000002 0.05)42.05% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Tobol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (0.048000000000002 0.05)29.72% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (0.059000000000005 0.06)65.78% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Gallen 54.45%
    Tobol 23.56%
    Draw 21.97%
St GallenDrawTobol
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 23.56%

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