UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Sheriff

Sheriff Tiraspol
0 - 1
Partizan

(Sheriff Tiraspol win 3-2 on aggregate)

Tapsoba (45+2'), Moumouni (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gomes (45')
Belic (34'), Popovic (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Sheriff Tiraspol and Partizan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheriff Tiraspol

Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Omonia
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Partizan

Last Game: Partizan 1-1 Slovacko
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 Partizan

Playing behind closed doors denies Sheriff the opportunity to play in front of a full stadium which they usually attract for European fixtures, and with many incoming and outgoings during January, it will be interesting to see how settled the side is. Partizan will be hopeful of any kind of result to take back home for the return leg in Belgrade, where their fanatical home support could play a huge role. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Partizan had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Partizan win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Partizan
59.81% ( 0.23)	23.94% ( 0.02)	16.25% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 42.52% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.47% (

-0.45)

56.53% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.48% (

-0.36)

77.52% (

0.36)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.3% (

-0.08)

18.7% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.95% (

-0.14)

50.05% (

0.13)

Partizan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3% (

-0.61)

47.7% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99% (

-0.45)

83.01% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 59.8%

Partizan 16.25%

Draw 23.94%

Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Partizan
1-0 @ 14.95% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.8%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.25%