Another closely-fought contest is set to be played out on Thursday, although Basaksehir will head into the second leg as the favourites to progress. While the hosts will fancy their chances on home soil, we feel that the visitors will have enough quality in their side to secure a narrow win in Israel. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Maccabi Netanya had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Maccabi Netanya win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Istanbul Basaksehir.

Result
Maccabi Netanya	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
32.84% ( 0.5)	25.66% ( 0.12)	41.5% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 54.73% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75% (

-0.39)

49.25% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

-0.35)

71.31% (

0.36)

Maccabi Netanya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

0.13)

28.42% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

0.16)

64.17% (

-0.15)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

-0.47)

23.54% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

-0.69)

57.59% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Maccabi Netanya 32.84%

Istanbul Basaksehir 41.5%

Draw 25.65%

Maccabi Netanya	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.84%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.5%