Italy have been the most consistent side throughout the tournament in Cyprus, and while we expect the final to be a close-fought affair, we believe that the Azzurri will do enough to claim a narrow victory and their first European Under-17 Championship title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-17s win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Portugal Under-17s had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-17s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Portugal Under-17s win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-17s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-17s	Draw	Portugal Under-17s
44.61% ( 2.85)	24.94% ( 0.33)	30.45% ( -3.18)

Both teams to score 56.1% (

-2.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.99% (

-2.64)

47.01% (

2.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75% (

-2.51)

69.26% (

2.51)

Italy Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

0.2)

21.11% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05% (

0.3)

53.95% (

-0.3)

Portugal Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-3.3)

28.88% (

3.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

-4.3)

64.75% (

4.31)

Score Analysis

Italy Under-17s 44.61%

Portugal Under-17s 30.45%

Draw 24.94%

Italy Under-17s	Draw	Portugal Under-17s
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 1.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.86) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.61%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.45%