Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.