MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 19:42:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lillestrom
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 18
Aug 11, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Arasen Stadion
Molde logo

Lillestrom
1 - 2
Molde

Ibrahimaj (10')
Gabrielsen (45+2'), Garnas (72'), Charles (77'), Ibrahimaj (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ihler (45+1'), Eriksen (90+1')
Breivik (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kristiansund 2-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: Lillestrom 1-1 Molde

Despite avoiding defeat in their last three home games, Lillestrom had failed to notch maximum points in their preceding five home matches, suggesting the abnormality of the ongoing undefeated sequence. Regardless, Molde's seeming prioritisation of the Europa League could mean that run extends to four without losing on Sunday with both sides sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Molde had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LillestromDrawMolde
41.09% (0.40900000000001 0.41) 23.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.29% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 62.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)39.21% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)61.54% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.166 0.17)19.43% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (0.276 0.28)51.26% (-0.278 -0.28)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.22699999999999 -0.23)22.23% (0.225 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (-0.341 -0.34)55.66% (0.337 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 41.09%
    Molde 35.29%
    Draw 23.61%
LillestromDrawMolde
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.08% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Lillestrom vs Molde

Lillestrom
42.0%
Draw
28.0%
Molde
30.0%
50
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 13
Molde
3-0
Lillestrom
Eriksen (13'), Christiansen (24' og.), Fjortoft Lovik (67')
Amundsen (51'), Daehli (76')

Lucky (64')
Nov 12, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 28
Molde
4-0
Lillestrom
Gabrielsen (4' og.), Berisha (11', 23'), Hestad (89')

Skogvold (56')
Apr 23, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 3
Lillestrom
2-1
Molde
Tonnessen (5'), Adams (37')
Breivik (35')
Oct 16, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Lillestrom
0-1
Molde
Hussain (90+6')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 3
Molde
1-2
Lillestrom
Haugen (79')
Haugan (55'), Hussain (85')
Ogbu (19'), Fridjonsson (90+8')
Edh (30'), Asen (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt30188471314062
2SK BrannBrann30178555332259
3Viking FKViking FK30169561392257
4RosenborgRosenborg30165952391353
5MoldeMolde30157864362852
6Fredrikstad3014973935451
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset30108123240-838
8KFUM OsloKFUM30910113536-137
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg30107134355-1237
10SandefjordSandefjord3097144146-534
11KristiansundKristiansund30810123245-1334
12HamKam3089133439-533
13Tromso ILTromso3096153444-1033
14FK HaugesundHaugesund3096152946-1733
15Lillestrom3073203363-3024
16Odd3058172654-2823


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!