Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.