Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.
