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Wrexham AFC
EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals
Feb 26, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Peterborough United

Wrexham
2 - 2
Peterborough

Faal (34'), Dobson (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mothersille (72'), Ihionvien (90+1')
Wallin (68'), Ihionvien (90+2')
Peterborough win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Wrexham and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Wrexham
Sunday, February 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Peterborough United

Wrexham will be full of confidence after winning five of their last six matches in all competitions, and while Peterborough may have enjoyed success on their travels at the weekend, that result represented just one of their two competitive away victories since the end of September. With all that in mind, we believe that the hosts will do enough to eliminate the holders and set up a Wembley date with Birmingham City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawPeterborough United
42.93% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 24.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 32.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.73% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.73% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.14% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.09% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.33% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75%25.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.00099999999999767 0)60% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 42.93%
    Peterborough United 32.86%
    Draw 24.21%
WrexhamDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.99%
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.86%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Peterborough

Wrexham
Draw
Peterborough United
Wrexham
84.6%
Draw
5.1%
Peterborough United
10.3%
39
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 25
Wrexham
1-0
Peterborough
Fletcher (87')
Fletcher (88'), Dobson (90+2')

Fernandez (36'), Ihionvien (53')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Peterborough
0-2
Wrexham

Sparkes (47')
Marriott (28'), Cleworth (39')
Palmer (45+1'), Mullin (88')
Feb 26, 2008 3pm
Feb 9, 2008 3pm
Peterborough
0-0
Wrexham
Gnakpa (23'), Westwood (74'), Lee (83'), Morgan (89')
Evans (73'), Broughton (74'), Roberts (80')
Feb 10, 2007 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Wrexham
Boyd (53'), McLean (23'), Evans (82' og.)

Jones (57'), Williams (65'), Garrett (87')
rhs 2.0
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