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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Gillingham

Swansea
3 - 1
Gillingham

Pereira Martins (24'), Cullen (70'), Abdulai (90+6')
Pedersen (19'), Abdulai (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hawkins (87')
Williams (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Gillingham 4-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swansea City 3-1 Gillingham

Swansea may have experienced a disappointing start to their league campaign, but we think that they will showcase their Championship quality to get the better of League Two Gillingham on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea CityDrawGillingham
50.43% (0.33000000000001 0.33) 23.54% (-0.112 -0.11) 26.02% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 57.54% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.32 0.32)43.63% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.313 0.31)66.02% (-0.315 -0.31)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.24300000000001 0.24)17.39% (-0.245 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (0.426 0.43)47.81% (-0.43 -0.43)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65%30.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47%66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 50.43%
    Gillingham 26.02%
    Draw 23.54%
Swansea CityDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 26.02%

How you voted: Swansea vs Gillingham

Swansea City
92.5%
Draw
2.5%
Gillingham
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Fourth Round
Swansea
4-1
Gillingham
McBurnie (10', 32'), Celina (73'), McKay (84')
Carter-Vickers (14')
Rees (51')
Apr 12, 2008 3pm
Gillingham
1-2
Swansea
Oli (22')
Maher (43'), Miller (62')
Bauza (44', 45')
Britton (13'), Pratley (23'), Bauza (52'), Painter (59')
Nov 2, 2007 3pm
Swansea
1-1
Gillingham
Anderson (79')
Pratley (50'), Monk (64')
Feeney (23')
Facey (10')
Southall (82')
Jan 23, 2007 3pm
Sep 16, 2006 3pm
Gillingham
3-1
Swansea
Cox (14', 79'), Jarvis (30')
Easton (43')
Knight (85')
Austin (18')
rhs 2.0
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