Swansea3 - 1Gillingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Swansea City 3-1 Gillingham
Swansea may have experienced a disappointing start to their league campaign, but we think that they will showcase their Championship quality to get the better of League Two Gillingham on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Gillingham |
50.43% ( 0.33) | 23.54% ( -0.11) | 26.02% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( 0.32) | 43.63% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( 0.31) | 66.02% ( -0.31) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( 0.24) | 17.39% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.43) | 47.81% ( -0.43) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.34% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.47% | 66.53% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Gillingham |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 26.02% |
