Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Emmen in this match.
