MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 20:17:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Jong Ajax

Kostons (3', 13')
Kostons (42'), Coomans (64'), Matthys (90+1')
Souren (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Misehouy (87')
Gooijer (42'), Misehouy (90+1'), Agougil (90+5'), Vos (90+4')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-2 MVV
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Cambuur 4-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
50.48% (0.123 0.12) 21.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 27.85% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 66% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)33.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.02% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)13.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (0.058 0.06)40.7% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)23.62% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.123 -0.12)57.71% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.48%
    Jong Ajax 27.85%
    Draw 21.67%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.85%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong Ajax
4-2
MVV
Fitz-Jim (5'), Conceicao (8'), Godts (51'), Banel (90+4')
Blummel (31'), Steuckers (65')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Misehouy (53')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 37
MVV
1-0
Jong Ajax
Ntelo (39')
Souren (45'), Alberg (65'), Zeegers (71')

Baas (24'), Fitz-Jim (45+1'), (71')
Sep 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
Jong Ajax
3-1
MVV
Danilo (33' pen., 60'), Unuvar (45+1')
Hillen (20'), Rensch (22')
Dzepar (90+4')
Zeegers (30')
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Jong Ajax
4-3
MVV
Unuvar (12'), Musampa (39'), Martha (53'), Hansen (76')
Baas (37')
Naudts (29', 87'), Mickels (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam26164657332452
2Dordrecht26138545331247
3SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior26137645281746
4ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag26137643301346
5Cambuur26143939261345
6Den BoschDen Bosch26126840291142
7De GraafschapDe Graafschap26117849381140
8TelstarTelstar26108843321138
9Roda JC2610793736137
10Helmond SportHelmond2510693437-336
11EmmenEmmen25105103836235
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven26105113943-435
13MVV MaastrichtMVV268994138333
14Jong AZJong AZ2586114345-230
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax2576123133-227
16TOP OssOss2669111941-2227
17VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2575132541-1626
18Jong PSVJong PSV2563163754-1721
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2428142051-3114
20Vitesse2677123657-211
> Eerste Divisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!