Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.91%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
