Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
