Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.