Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Almere City in this match.
