Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
