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Koln logo
DFB-Pokal | Last 16
Jan 18, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Hamburg logo

FC Koln
1 - 1
Hamburger SV

Modeste (120+1' pen.)
Hector (43'), Schindler (76'), Hubers (82')
FT
(aet)
Glatzel (92')
Reis (90'), Walter (105'), Schonlau (120')
Hamburger SV win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between FC Koln and Hamburger SV, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: FC Koln 2-0 Hamburger SV

 With Koln able to fully focus on this cup tie without any concerns over fitness issues and fixture congestion in the league, we expect them to put out a strong side and look to progress in the cup on Tuesday. As a result, they should possess too much quality for their second-tier opponents in this one, although with both sides being defensively organised, we would not expect too many goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%).

Result
FC KolnDrawHamburger SV
36.39%22.79%40.82%
Both teams to score 66.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.08%34.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.1%56.9%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26%19.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24%51.77%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25%17.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56%48.44%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 36.39%
    Hamburger SV 40.82%
    Draw 22.79%
FC KolnDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.97%
1-0 @ 5.69%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 6.89%
0-0 @ 3.5%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 4.9%
2-3 @ 3.97%
0-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.3%
3-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 40.82%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Hamburger SV

FC Koln
81.8%
Draw
12.1%
Hamburger SV
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
FC Koln
1-1
Hamburger SV
Drexler (26')
Terodde (38'), Kainz (47'), Hector (66'), Mere (74')
Wintzheimer (85')
Jung (49'), van Drongelen (56'), Wintzheimer (87')
Nov 5, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hamburger SV
1-0
FC Koln
Lasogga (86')
Santos (29')

Hoger (43'), Ozcan (61'), Hector (77')
Jan 20, 2018 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
0-2
FC Koln

Papadopoulos (5'), Jung (31'), Janjicic (37')
Terodde (27', 67')
Sorensen (60'), Hector (62'), Mere (69')
Aug 25, 2017 7.30pm
FC Koln
1-3
Hamburger SV
Sorensen (97')
Sorensen (10'), Hector (88')
Hahn (28'), Wood (35'), Holtby (100')
Mavraj (3'), Diekmeier (70'), Papadopoulos (99')
Mavraj (59')
Apr 1, 2017 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-1
FC Koln
Muller (14'), Holtby (92')
Holtby (60'), Souza Silva (67')
Jojic (25')
Zoller (34'), Jojic (37'), Guirassy (77')
rhs 2.0
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