Aarhus will be looking to challenge the likes of Copenhagen for the Superliga crown this term, and home matches against newly-promoted sides are fixtures that they should be picking up maximum points in. Vejle made a name for being defensively solid last season, and we believe they will frustrate their hosts at Ceres Park for a period before ultimately falling short. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Vejle had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Vejle win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aarhus in this match.

Result
Aarhus	Draw	Vejle
37.84% ( 0.23)	26.73% ( 0.04)	35.42% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 51.73% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68% (

-0.17)

53.31% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13% (

-0.14)

74.86% (

0.14)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65% (

0.05)

27.35% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.19% (

0.07)

62.81% (

-0.07)

Vejle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.24)

28.79% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0.3)

64.63% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Aarhus 37.84%

Vejle 35.42%

Draw 26.73%

Aarhus	Draw	Vejle
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.42%