Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bourgoin-Jallieu win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Valence had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bourgoin-Jallieu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Valence win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bourgoin-Jallieu would win this match.