Genoa1 - 0Reggiana
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 4 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, August 2 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Genoa 3-0 Reggiana
A well-oiled machine under Alberto Gilardino - who stayed in post despite being linked with a move up the Serie A foodchain - Genoa should surely eliminate Reggiana for the second year running. Having lost a head coach of Alessandro Nesta's stature, the Granata may struggle to make an impact at Stadio Ferraris. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Reggiana |
58.68% ( -0.04) | 22.43% ( -0) | 18.88% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.11% ( 0.07) | 46.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.86% ( 0.06) | 69.13% ( -0.07) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.35% ( 0) | 15.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.33% ( 0.01) | 44.66% ( -0.02) |
Reggiana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.22% ( 0.09) | 38.77% ( -0.09) |