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Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Torino
4 - 0
Cittadella

Radonjic (21'), Pellegri (55'), Schuurs (76'), Zima (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Danzi (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Cittadella and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 2-0 Cittadella

With both sides struggling in their respective leagues, we would expect the Serie A side Torino to come out on top with the quality of players they have at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawCittadella
43.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 27.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 28.88% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.35% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.21% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (0.012 0.01)79.63% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85%27.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45%62.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (0.023999999999994 0.02)36.38% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (0.023 0.02)73.17% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 43.24%
    Cittadella 28.88%
    Draw 27.87%
TorinoDrawCittadella
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Cittadella vs Torino

Cittadella
29.0%
Draw
6.5%
Torino
64.5%
62
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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