Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1am UK
Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba3 - 0Metropolitanos
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cuiaba and Metropolitanos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Metropolitanos 0-2 Lanus
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
Result | ||
Cuiaba | Draw | Metropolitanos |
71.97% ( 8.58) | 16.83% ( -4.41) | 11.19% ( -4.17) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( 2.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.46% ( 10.17) | 37.54% ( -10.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.23% ( 10.13) | 59.77% ( -10.14) |
Cuiaba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.84% ( 5.24) | 9.16% ( -5.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.95% ( 11.26) | 31.04% ( -11.27) |
Metropolitanos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.43% ( 0.03) | 43.56% ( -0.04) |