Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 12, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Defensor0 - 2Monagas
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Defensor Sporting and Monagas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Defensor
Saturday, February 8 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 8 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Monagas 2-0 Defensor
Wednesday, February 5 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 5 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Monagas had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Monagas win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Monagas |
44.04% ( -0.29) | 26.49% ( 0.32) | 29.47% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% ( -1.27) | 53.85% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( -1.08) | 75.32% ( 1.08) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.7) | 24.31% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.31% ( -1) | 58.69% ( 1) |
| Monagas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.68) | 33.08% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.76) | 69.67% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
Defensor Sporting 44.04%
Monagas 29.47%
Draw 26.49%
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Monagas |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.47% |
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2025 12.30am
First Round 1st Leg
Monagas
2-0
Defensor
Abdiel Rodriguez Mena (78'), Manrique (90')
Macelli (25'), Abdiel Rodriguez Mena (54'), Piris (73')
Macelli (25'), Abdiel Rodriguez Mena (54'), Piris (73')
Apr 26, 2018 1.45am
Form Guide
