Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 10, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
3 - 0
Tachira

Sanabria (32'), Melgarejo (39'), Aguilar (78')
Caballero (53')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cova (56'), Robles (73'), Castillo (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Deportivo Tachira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Deportivo Tachira

Last Game: Tachira 0-2 River Plate
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Deportivo Tachira
50% ( -0.23)	28.03% ( 0.11)	21.98% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 40.65% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.33% (

-0.27)

63.67% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.05% (

-0.19)

82.95% (

0.19)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

-0.23)

25.83% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

-0.31)

60.79% (

0.31)

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.81% (

-0.04)

45.19% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.92% (

-0.03)

81.08% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 49.98%

Deportivo Tachira 21.98%

Draw 28.03%

Club Libertad	Draw	Deportivo Tachira
1-0 @ 15.79% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.98%